On February 1, the European Commission (EC) launched its Green Deal Industrial Plan to “enhance the competitiveness of Europe’s net-zero industry and support the fast transition to climate neutrality.” According to the accompanying press release, the EC aims to provide a more supportive environment for scaling up the EU’s capacity to manufacture net-zero technologies and products. Additionally, the Plan is intended to build upon previous initiatives and complement ongoing strategies such as the European Green Deal.
In summary, the EC’s goals in implementing the Plan are:
The EC intends to use existing funds to finance the development of clean technology along with its manufacturing and deployment. In order to assist Member states in accessing REPowerEU funds, the EC has adopted guidance that sets out the “process of modifying existing plans and the modalities for preparing REPowerEU chapters.” According to the accompanying factsheet, the EU has already made available EUR 250 billion for green measures, and can mobilize an additional EUR 372 billion from InvestEU for net-zero investments and a further EUR 40 billion from the Innovation Fund over the next decade. REPowerEU is a plan that the EU adopted following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine that “sets out a series of measures to rapidly reduce dependence on Russian fossil fuels and fast forward the green transition, while increasing the resilience of the EU-wide energy system.”
Ursula von der Leyen, President of the EC, stated that “We have a once in a generation opportunity to show the way with speed, ambition and a sense of purpose to secure the EU's industrial lead in the fast-growing net-zero technology sector. Europe is determined to lead the clean tech revolution. For our companies and people, it means turning skills into quality jobs and innovation into mass production, thanks to a simpler and faster framework. Better access to finance will allow our key clean tech industries to scale up quickly.”
Taking the Temperature: In addition to representing a significant investment in accelerating a green transition, the EC’s adoption of the Green Deal Industrial Plan is, at least in part, a response to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). The IRA contained approximately $370 billion in climate and energy-related provisions, comprised in large part of $121 billion of investment and production tax credits and the establishment of a $27 billion Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund to be administered by the Environmental Protection Agency. Overall, it is anticipated that the IRA will lead to 40% emissions reductions by 2030. In announcing the EC’s Plan, von der Leyen expressly referenced the U.S. law, remarking that “it is no secret that certain elements of the design of the Inflation Reduction Act raised a number of concerns in terms of some of the targeted incentives for companies. This is why we have been working with the US to find solutions, for example so that EU companies and EU-made electric cars can also benefit from the IRA. Our aim should be to avoid disruptions in transatlantic trade and investment.” Ultimately, however, the Plan recognizes the potential for trade-related disputes, and that “Europeans also need to get better at nurturing our own clean-tech industry.” We anticipate similar attempts by other countries to balance incentivizing the development of their own renewable energy industries with the goal of maintaining fair trade. However, that will be challenging to achieve based on reactions to the IRA, the Green Deal Industrial Plan, and other climate-related plans that are perceived to benefit “home” industries at the expense of global competitors. When the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism was announced – which will require foreign exporters to the EU to pay for the cost of their carbon emissions – we anticipated possible push back from competitors as well as possible concerns over compliance with World Trade Organization rules.